According to @KobeissiLetter, November is historically strong for U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 finishing higher in 59% of Novembers since 1927, making it the 3rd-strongest month on record, with an average return of +1.01% (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 have posted average November gains of +2.47% and +2.64%, respectively, over the same historical window (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, in year one of the U.S. presidential cycle, the S&P 500 rose in November 67% of the time with an average return of +0.67% (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, since 1950, when the S&P 500 entered November up more than +15% year-to-date, the index returned an average +2.7% that month (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, the author also posed the question of whether the S&P 500 could reach 7,000 this month, framing the discussion around bullish seasonality rather than issuing a forecast (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, these seasonality stats are used by traders to contextualize risk-on tendencies, a backdrop that crypto participants can monitor for potential spillover into BTC and ETH positioning during November (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to Altcoin Daily, Bitcoin (BTC) finished October in the red, marking the first negative October in more than six years (Source: Altcoin Daily, X, Nov 2, 2025). The same source reports that since 2013, November has delivered an average BTC return of 42.51%, identifying it as Bitcoin’s historically strongest month for gains (Source: Altcoin Daily, X, Nov 2, 2025). Based on that seasonality, the source adds BTC could surpass 160,000 dollars in November if history repeats, presenting a bullish scenario to watch for traders (Source: Altcoin Daily, X, Nov 2, 2025).

According to the source, historical seasonality dashboards show November ranks among Bitcoin’s strongest months by average monthly return, driven by outsized gains in 2013 and 2020, source: CoinGlass monthly returns data. However, performance dispersion is high, with November also logging deep losses in 2018 and 2022 during market stress, source: CoinGlass monthly returns data. Traders typically treat seasonality as a secondary tailwind and confirm with on-chain exchange flows and derivatives funding before sizing risk, sources: CryptoQuant research; CFTC risk disclosure.

According to @StockMKTNewz, November has historically been the best month for the US stock market based on median return (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Nov 1, 2025). The timing of the post underscores a Q4 seasonality signal that traders can factor into short-term positioning and risk management (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Nov 1, 2025). Crypto traders can use this equity seasonality datapoint as context for monitoring cross-asset risk sentiment during November (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Nov 1, 2025).

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC’s drop is a reset within an uptrend, with price flushing to 106K and tagging the same mean trendline that supported 2025 rallies (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). The post states the BTC mean reversion and regression slope remain upward and both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages are intact, keeping the broader structure non-bearish (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). It reports exchange inflows did not spike after the 10/10 move or the 106K touch, while exchange reserves kept falling, implying holding over selling and leverage clearing rather than conviction loss (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). The author highlights a recurring BTC fractal where momentum cools and flattens near the mean before the next expansion phase (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). Macro factors cited as supportive include a 25 bps Fed rate cut, QT ending Dec 1, and lower US–China tariffs, which the post says have historically preceded major BTC rallies (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025). The trading takeaway presented is a pullback-then-setup into November, historically Bitcoin’s second-strongest month, rather than a bear-phase start (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Oct 31, 2025).